Even after being indicted in two separate criminal cases, former President Donald Trump has maintained a commanding lead over his Republican rivals in national polls of registered voters. But those same polls are showing that if Trump were to run head-to-head against the presumed 2024 Democratic nominee, President Joe Biden, the two candidates would be…
ANALYSIS: Trump Still Dominating Republican Rivals After Classified Documents Indictment
ANALYSIS: Trump Still Dominating Republican Rivals in Polls After Classified Documents Indictment
Even after being indicted in two separate criminal cases, former President Donald Trump has maintained a commanding lead over his Republican rivals in national polls of registered voters. But those same polls are showing that if Trump were to run head-to-head against the presumed 2024 Democratic nominee, President Joe Biden, the two candidates would be…
ANALYSIS: Trump Still Dominates Republican Rivals in Polls After Classified Documents Indictment
Even after being indicted in two separate criminal cases, former President Donald Trump has maintained a commanding lead over his Republican rivals in national polls of registered voters. But those same polls are showing that if Trump were to run head-to-head against the presumed 2024 Democratic nominee, President Joe Biden, the two candidates would be…
America Needs Political Prediction Markets
Commentary Just in time for the heat of the election season, a federal agency called the Commodity Futures Trading Commission has announced it will no longer allow betting on political and election outcomes. These online wagering platforms, most notably PredictIt, allow betting on all sorts of political outcomes: the odds that Republicans win the Senate…
Politicos Spin Close Warnock-Walker Georgia Senate Race
It’s still early in the general election campaign, deep in the summer, when people aren’t too concerned about who should fill Georgia’s Senate seat. Should it be the incumbent Democrat Raphael Warnock, in the position just a year and a half following a controversial runoff election on Jan. 5, 2021? Or should it be Trump-endorsed…
How Political Polls Can Be Skewed
Although those with a keen interest in the federal election pay close attention to polls, political scientists and pollsters say poll questions, available answers, and skewed headlines can mislead voters. Continual opinion polls throughout election campaigns help candidates, parties, and political strategists to gauge support and adjust their approach accordingly. However, poll results released to…
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