Category: stagflation

The Real ‘Reset’ Is Coming

Commentary President Joe Biden believes the Ukraine war will mark the start of a “new world order.” In the middle of the COVID global pandemic, Klaus Schwab and global elites likewise announced a “great reset.” Accordingly, the nations of the world would have to surrender their sovereignty to an international body of experts. They would…


German Fiscal Policy to Stave Off Stagflation: Lindner

BERLIN—The German government will tailor its public spending plans to avoid stagflation in Europe’s biggest economy and keep at bay the risk of sliding into a cycle of rising prices and anemic growth, Finance Minister Christian Lindner said on Tuesday. “The goal of the federal government is to support growth in Germany and mitigate the…


Toward Stagflation?

Commentary  In February, the United States recorded the fastest inflation print, 7.9 percent, since January 1982. In January 1982, the federal funds rate was 13.2 percent (on average). On March 16, the Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate to a range of 0.25–0.50 percent. It’s a joke, really. Like I wrote in my previous…


Stagflation Is Coming

Commentary With consumer prices soaring to levels not seen since the early 1980s, many pundits are predicting the economy will enter a period of stagflation that could persist for years. Stagflation is any period marked by both rising inflation and rising unemployment, something our economy has not experienced since 1980. Despite the infrequency of periods…


Rate Hike Guessing Misses the Point

Commentary It’s like Jeopardy on acid. I’m talking about the blizzard of guesses surrounding the Fed’s rate-hiking plans to combat this bout of inflation. What is 50 basis points in March, Alex? I’ll take seven rate hikes this year for a thousand.  The reality is most of this speculation doesn’t matter. The Fed has never…


Recession or Stagflation? Oil Prices, Ukraine Conflict Weigh on Growth Prospects

The odds of recession are slowly rising now that crude oil prices are firmly above $110 per barrel, and the Ukraine–Russia military conflict is affecting global financial and commodities markets. In the past couple of months, stagflation had been the talk of Wall Street as analysts and economists debated the weight of rampant price inflation…


Euro Eyes Void Below Parity Versus Swiss Franc on Stagflation Shock

LONDON—The euro briefly sank below parity versus the Swiss franc for the first time in seven years on Monday and held at a 22-month low versus the dollar as soaring oil prices stoked fears of a stagflationary shock that could hammer Europe. The conflict in Ukraine and harsh international sanctions on Moscow have sent Russian…


Stagflation Talk Grows with Atlantic Fed 1st-Quarter GDP Estimate

U.S. economic growth could be close to flat in the first quarter, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta suggested in its latest model. The Atlanta Fed Bank’s GDPNow estimate on Jan. 28 suggested that real gross domestic product growth could be a minuscule 0.1 percent in the January-to-March period. While it’s not an official forecast…


Stagflation Talk Grows With Atlanta Fed 1st-Quarter GDP Estimate

U.S. economic growth could be close to flat in the first quarter, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta suggested in its latest model. The Atlanta Fed Bank’s GDPNow estimate on Jan. 28 suggested that real gross domestic product (GDP) growth could be a minuscule 0.1 percent in the January-to-March period. While it’s not an official…


Biden’s Worst Nightmare Is Your Investment Opportunity

Commentary “How bad do you think it’s gonna be?” “Pretty [expletive] bad. Probably all the other Families will line up against us. That’s all right. These things gotta happen every five years or so, ten years. Helps to get rid of the bad blood.” That was Michael Corleone asking Peter Clemenza how bad the fallout…